Stories

SoftBank just priced a ¥1 trillion retail bond at 4.75%

SoftBank Group set terms for a seven-year ¥1 trillion Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS Bond aimed at individual investors, with a 4.75% coupon — well above this year’s retail yen average.

Dollar firms as Middle East tensions push oil and yields higher

The dollar strengthened as renewed Middle East conflict lifted oil prices and Treasury yields, sharpening bets on tighter Federal Reserve policy and weighing on the yen and sterling.

Rs 30,919 crore in one month: foreign funds just backed Indian stocks for the second month running

Foreign portfolio investors added to Indian equities in August for the second month in a row, a stretch the Economic Times ties to steadier earnings, a stable economy and easing geopolitical tension - with crude oil and US yields still lurking as risks.

Crude's first weekly fall in weeks is no reprieve for Surat's weavers

Brent and WTI just snapped a winning run as Hormuz flows eased supply fears, but polyester-yarn costs are still squeezing Gujarat's powerloom belt.

India's bonds slipped as a flood of new debt met cautious buyers, even while oil gave them a gift

Government bond prices fell on Thursday as heavy supply overwhelmed softer crude, and minutes hinted rates could still rise if inflation widens.

Bitcoin's rally builds toward $80,000 as ETF demand meets a short squeeze

A bond-buyback story and a forced close of bearish bets are powering the move, but the underlying data is thinner than the headline suggests.

Gold touches its highest level since mid-May as buying momentum builds

Treasury buyback news and incoming US inflation data have put the metal's next direction in focus, with one bank lifting its outlook.

Asian Markets Slip as AI Stocks Weigh Ahead of Nvidia's Earnings Test

Tokyo's Nikkei buckled under artificial-intelligence selling while chip-equipment maker Tokyo Electron bucked the trend, and all eyes now turn to a single earnings report that traders believe will decide whether the sector's momentum survives.

Bitcoin fell below $60,000. Then came the week everything changed

From a January peak near $95,000 to a June trough under $60,000, bitcoin looked done for the year. Days later it climbed back above $77,000 — while gold surged more than 5% for the week and the dollar slid.

Cutting a winning intraday trade early turned +41 into −2.6

A simulation over 237 trades tested four exit policies on an intraday momentum system. Holding to the closing square-off beat every alternative — and one popular early-exit rule didn't just underperform, it destroyed the edge entirely.

The market went nowhere on Friday, and the nowhere was crowded

Indian benchmarks barely budged, yet Power Grid, HDFC Life and Kotak Mahindra Bank climbed while Maruti Suzuki, Trent and HCL Tech slipped. Under a still index, a busy street.

One trading day was enough to flip four supposed edges

A single-session retest of an intraday system's trade tags saw order-book imbalance, gap behaviour, conviction scores and extension readings all reverse sign — while two structural patterns held exactly as before.

First live test of our best long setup: profits held up, the 80% win rate fell to 55%

The strongest long pattern in our order-flow research kept its profit edge on its first out-of-sample day, earning far more per trade than the average signal. But the win rate, the one metric this project is built around, did not replicate.

Netweb and Sai Life lead a smallcap surge that is pushing an index to the brink of a record

The Nifty SmallCap 100 index is closing in on a record high as the majority of its constituents move higher, fuelled by gains in names such as Netweb and Sai Life Sciences.

Estee Lauder is leaning on Tom Ford perfumes and Le Labo skincare to power a profit beat

Estee Lauder expects annual profit to top Wall Street's forecasts, driven by strong demand for its luxury fragrance and skincare brands, particularly among younger, affluent shoppers.

Ask-heavy order books predict winning longs 66% of the time across 329 trades — but the short mirror fails

A scan of six trading sessions found that longs breaking into a wall of resting sell orders win more often, especially when paired with momentum confirmers. The mirror pattern for shorts does not work.

Tested on fresh data, our high-win-rate setup wins less often but pays more

Two out-of-sample sessions have now missed the setup's original hit rate. What replicated instead was asymmetry: the filtered trades roughly doubled the baseline payoff while winning slightly less often.

From a stalled US-Iran talk to a $91 barrel and a rupee at 95.68

Crude crossed $91 a barrel after peace talks stalled, and Economic Times reports the rupee opened seven paise weaker at 95.68 while both benchmark indices slipped. The chain between a distant negotiation and an Indian fuel bill is shorter than it looks.

A chip sell-off swept Asia. A humanoid robot maker soared nearly 500% anyway.

Chip and robotics stocks were dumped across China and Japan in a single session, Economic Times reported, even as a newly listed humanoid robot maker rocketed on its Shanghai debut. Conviction and price are not the same thing.

Costs, not gross returns, decided which trades to skip: a sector filter earned more on fewer trades

A replay of 391 intraday trades found that screening entries on how a stock's own sector was trading kept more money — the trades it declined looked like marginal winners in gross terms and were losses once real charges were paid.

Big gaps don't sustain: Indian stocks that open far from the last close mostly hand it back

A sweep of every gap day in India's derivatives-eligible stocks found continuation only in the smallest gaps, and only when the sector gapped the same way; the dependable signal turned out to be which gaps to leave alone.

Volume was the only thread in our biggest movers, and it was unknowable at entry

Ranking every trade by how far it actually ran left one variable standing: relative volume. The catch is that the measure counts a whole session's turnover, most of which arrives long after the position is already open.

Buying weakness worked, buying strength lost: results from a broad signal sweep

Across gap fades, block charts, oscillators and smart-money structures on Indian derivatives-eligible stocks, every entry-on-strength rule lost money net of fees — and only the deepest gaps survived a realistic slippage test.

An 80% win rate collapsed to 31% the first time we tested it forward

On a bullish session that gapped up and faded, Strota's most selective long setup fired thirteen times, won 31% of them and lost money, against the 80% it showed on the data it was built from.